Ballinamallard United 61%Draw 23%Rathfriland 16%Expected goals 2.02 – 0.94
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBallinamallard United to win ✗61% · @1.65
Double chanceBallinamallard United or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 6 November: Ballinamallard United v Rathfriland in the Championship. In the table, Ballinamallard United are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Rathfriland are 12th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Ballinamallard United, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Armagh City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Rathfriland, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Strabane Athletic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ballinamallard United 2.0 xG, Rathfriland 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ballinamallard United 61%, draw 23%, Rathfriland 16%.
Lower-risk option: Ballinamallard United or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballinamallard United 2–0 Rathfriland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ballinamallard United61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Rathfriland16%fair 6.38 · @4.20
2.96Expected goals
2.02Ballinamallard United xG
0.94Rathfriland xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ballinamallard United 2.0 – 0.9 Rathfriland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ballinamallard United to win✗
61%
1.63
1.65
Double chance
Ballinamallard United or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Ballinamallard United (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Ballinamallard United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Ballinamallard United to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Ballinamallard United ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ballinamallard United / FT Ballinamallard United✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Ballinamallard United – last 6
LWDDWD
31 Oct
vs Armagh City
0–1
L
23 Oct
@ Strabane Athletic
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Queen's University
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Warrenpoint Town
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Queen's University
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Ards
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rathfriland – last 6
DDWWWL
30 Oct
vs Strabane Athletic
2–2
D
20 Oct
vs Ards
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Dundela
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Armagh City
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ H&W Welders
3–1
W
25 Sep
vs Warrenpoint Town
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballinamallard United and Rathfriland.
What is the prediction for Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
On our numbers Ballinamallard United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rathfriland 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
Our predicted score is Ballinamallard United 2–0 Rathfriland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland?
Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland (Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
