Kaluga vs Novosibirsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Kaluga v Novosibirsk in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Orbita stadium. In the table, Kaluga are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 17 matches; Novosibirsk are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Kaluga, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FK Sokol Saratov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Novosibirsk, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dinamo Vladivostok, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Novosibirsk 1–0 Kaluga. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kaluga 0 wins, Novosibirsk 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 1.2 xG, Novosibirsk 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 29%, draw 25%, Novosibirsk 46%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.69.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 1–1 Novosibirsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaluga29%fair 3.50 · @3.32
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.34
Novosibirsk46%fair 2.17 · @1.95
2.54Expected goals
1.16Kaluga xG
1.38Novosibirsk xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Kaluga 1.2 – 1.4 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Novosibirsk 46%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
Kaluga vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
