Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPolessya to win ✓60% · @1.40
Double chancePolessya or draw ✓83% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.52
Chornomorets vs Polessya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chornomorets welcome Polessya to Stadion Chornomorets for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 2 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Chornomorets are 11th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Polessya are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chornomorets, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kolos Kovalivka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Polessya, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Copenhagen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chornomorets, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Polessya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chornomorets 0.8 xG, Polessya 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chornomorets 17%, draw 23%, Polessya 60%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chornomorets 0–1 Polessya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chornomorets17%fair 5.96 · @7.75
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.90
Polessya60%fair 1.66 · @1.40
2.51Expected goals
0.81Chornomorets xG
1.70Polessya xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chornomorets 0.8 – 1.7 Polessya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polessya to win✓
60%
1.66
1.40
Double chance
Polessya or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Polessya (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Chornomorets +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Polessya to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polessya / FT Polessya✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Chornomorets – last 6
LWWLWW
25 Jul
@ Kolos Kovalivka
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2–1
W
10 Jul
vs Inhulets
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Oleksandria
0–2
L
1 Jul
vs Kryvbas KR
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs Metal Kharkiv
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Polessya – last 6
LDLLWD
29 Jul
@ FC Copenhagen
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs FC Copenhagen
3–3
D
14 Jul
@ Plzen
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–3
L
10 Jul
@ WSG Wattens
2–1
W
9 Jul
vs Jagiellonia
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chornomorets and Polessya.
What is the prediction for Chornomorets vs Polessya?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Polessya?
On our numbers Chornomorets have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Polessya 60%.
How many goals will there be in Chornomorets vs Polessya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chornomorets vs Polessya?
Our predicted score is Chornomorets 0–1 Polessya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chornomorets vs Polessya?
Chornomorets vs Polessya (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chornomorets.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
