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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zorya Luhansk v Kolos Kovalivka: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Valeriy Lobanovskyi
2–0
FT
Zorya Luhansk 36%Draw 27%Kolos Kovalivka 38% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.24
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultKolos Kovalivka to win ✗38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 31 July the Premier League brings Zorya Luhansk against Kolos Kovalivka at Valeriy Lobanovskyi. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Zorya Luhansk are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Kolos Kovalivka are 8th (upper half) with 12.

Current form

Zorya Luhansk, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Göztepe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Kolos Kovalivka, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chornomorets, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kolos Kovalivka, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for Zorya Luhansk.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Kolos Kovalivka 1–1 Zorya Luhansk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zorya Luhansk 1.3 xG, Kolos Kovalivka 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zorya Luhansk 36%, draw 27%, Kolos Kovalivka 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zorya Luhansk 1–1 Kolos Kovalivka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zorya Luhansk36%fair 2.78 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Kolos Kovalivka38%fair 2.66 · @2.55
2.57Expected goals
1.33Zorya Luhansk xG
1.24Kolos Kovalivka xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 1.3 – 1.2 Kolos Kovalivka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKolos Kovalivka to win ✗38%2.662.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betKolos Kovalivka (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapKolos Kovalivka +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreZorya Luhansk to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk ✗22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Zorya Luhansk – last 6

LDLLLD
23 Julvs Göztepe1–2L
18 Julvs Grimsby1–1D
15 Julvs Konyaspor1–2L
8 Jul@ Slovácko1–2L
4 Jul@ HNK Gorica1–2L
30 Junvs Shkendija2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kolos Kovalivka – last 6

WWWWWL
25 Julvs Chornomorets2–1W
18 Julvs Oleksandria2–1W
17 Julvs Kudrivka2–0W
10 Jul@ Veres Rivne3–2W
21 May@ Shakhtar Donetsk1–0W
17 Mayvs Obolon'-Brovar0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Kolos Kovalivka v Zorya Luhansk1–1
Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kolos Kovalivka 38%.

How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 1–1 Kolos Kovalivka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Valeriy Lobanovskyi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.