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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Polessya v Zorya Luhansk: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Tsentralnyi Stadion
1–2
FT
Polessya 63%Draw 24%Zorya Luhansk 14% Expected goals 2.04 – 0.88
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultPolessya to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chancePolessya or draw ✗86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zorya Luhansk travel to face Polessya on Monday 17 August in the Premier League, with Tsentralnyi Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Polessya are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Zorya Luhansk are 7th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Polessya, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Kharkiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Zorya Luhansk, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kryvbas KR, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Polessya, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Zorya Luhansk.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Zorya Luhansk 0–0 Polessya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Polessya 2.0 xG, Zorya Luhansk 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Polessya 63%, draw 24%, Zorya Luhansk 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polessya 2–0 Zorya Luhansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Polessya63%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.75
Zorya Luhansk14%fair 7.26 · @6.20
2.93Expected goals
2.04Polessya xG
0.88Zorya Luhansk xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Polessya 2.0 – 0.9 Zorya Luhansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPolessya to win ✗63%1.601.50
Double chancePolessya or draw ✗86%1.161.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.95 ▲
Draw no betPolessya (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapPolessya -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scorePolessya to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultPolessya ahead at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Polessya / FT Polessya ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Polessya – last 6

WWLDLL
10 Augvs FC Kharkiv3–1W
2 Aug@ Chornomorets2–1W
29 Jul@ FC Copenhagen1–2L
23 Julvs FC Copenhagen3–3D
14 Jul@ Plzen0–2L
14 Julvs Shimizu S-pulse1–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Zorya Luhansk – last 6

LWLDLL
9 Augvs Kryvbas KR1–3L
31 Julvs Kolos Kovalivka2–0W
23 Julvs Göztepe1–2L
18 Julvs Grimsby1–1D
15 Julvs Konyaspor1–2L
8 Jul@ Slovácko1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026Zorya Luhansk v Polessya0–0
Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

On our numbers Polessya have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zorya Luhansk 14%.

How many goals will there be in Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Our predicted score is Polessya 2–0 Zorya Luhansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.