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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chornomorets v Kryvbas KR: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Stadion Chornomorets
1–0
FT
Chornomorets 28%Draw 22%Kryvbas KR 50% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.69
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Kryvbas KR to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKryvbas KR to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Chornomorets v Kryvbas KR in the Premier League, played at Stadion Chornomorets. In the table, Chornomorets are 11th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Kryvbas KR are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chornomorets, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vilkhivtsi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kryvbas KR, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rokyta, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Jul 2026) it ended Chornomorets 2–1 Kryvbas KR.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chornomorets 1.2 xG, Kryvbas KR 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chornomorets 28%, draw 22%, Kryvbas KR 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Kryvbas KR to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chornomorets 1–1 Kryvbas KR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chornomorets28%fair 3.51 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Kryvbas KR50%fair 2.01 · @2.15
2.90Expected goals
1.21Chornomorets xG
1.69Kryvbas KR xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Chornomorets 1.2 – 1.7 Kryvbas KR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKryvbas KR to win ✗50%2.012.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.70
Draw no betKryvbas KR (draw no bet) ✗64%1.57–
Asian handicapChornomorets +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreKryvbas KR to score first ✗55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kryvbas KR / FT Kryvbas KR ✗30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Chornomorets – last 6

LLLLWW
23 Aug@ Vilkhivtsi0–1L
16 Aug@ LNZ Cherkasy0–2L
2 Augvs Polessya1–2L
25 Jul@ Kolos Kovalivka1–2L
18 Julvs Nyva Vinnytsya2–1W
10 Julvs Inhulets1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kryvbas KR – last 6

WDWLLD
22 Aug@ Rokyta3–0W
15 Augvs Livyi Bereh1–1D
9 Aug@ Zorya Luhansk3–1W
1 Augvs Karpaty1–4L
1 Jul@ Chornomorets1–2L
23 May@ Oleksandria1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Jul 2026Chornomorets v Kryvbas KR2–1
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?

On our numbers Chornomorets have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kryvbas KR 50%.

How many goals will there be in Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?

Our predicted score is Chornomorets 1–1 Kryvbas KR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?

Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chornomorets.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.