Value bet: Zorya Luhansk to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZorya Luhansk to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 31 August the Premier League brings Zorya Luhansk against FC Kharkiv at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Zorya Luhansk are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; FC Kharkiv are 4th (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zorya Luhansk, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Skala 1911 Stryi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
FC Kharkiv, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Kalynivka, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Zorya Luhansk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for FC Kharkiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zorya Luhansk 1.3 xG, FC Kharkiv 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zorya Luhansk 39%, draw 23%, FC Kharkiv 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Zorya Luhansk to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zorya Luhansk 1–1 FC Kharkiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zorya Luhansk39%fair 2.53 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
FC Kharkiv38%fair 2.64 · @2.20
2.48Expected goals
1.26Zorya Luhansk xG
1.22FC Kharkiv xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 1.3 – 1.2 FC Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zorya Luhansk to win✗
39%
2.53
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Zorya Luhansk (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
FC Kharkiv +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Zorya Luhansk to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Recent results
Zorya Luhansk – last 6
WWLWLD
22 Aug
@ Skala 1911 Stryi
6–0
W
17 Aug
@ Polessya
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Kryvbas KR
1–3
L
31 Jul
vs Kolos Kovalivka
2–0
W
23 Jul
vs Göztepe
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Grimsby
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Kharkiv – last 6
WLLLWL
22 Aug
@ Kalynivka
9–0
W
16 Aug
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Polessya
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Livyi Bereh
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Veres Rivne
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs FC Schalke 04
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zorya Luhansk and FC Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Kharkiv 38%.
How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 1–1 FC Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv?
Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
