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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Karpaty v Shakhtar Donetsk: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Ukraina Stadium

Karpaty

DWWWW
1–2
FT
Karpaty 16%Draw 22%Shakhtar Donetsk 62% Expected goals 0.92 – 2.03
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.08

Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Karpaty welcome Shakhtar Donetsk to Ukraina Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 5 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Karpaty are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st (leading the league) with 29.

Current form

Karpaty, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Livyi Bereh, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Polessya, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Karpaty, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 Karpaty.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karpaty 0.9 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karpaty 16%, draw 22%, Shakhtar Donetsk 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.78.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karpaty 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karpaty16%fair 6.45 · @5.75
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.20
Shakhtar Donetsk62%fair 1.60 · @1.50
2.94Expected goals
0.92Karpaty xG
2.03Shakhtar Donetsk xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Karpaty 0.9 – 2.0 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓62%1.601.50
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓84%1.181.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.78
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.531.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.231.12
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultShakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.08–

Recent results

Karpaty – last 6

DWWWWW
29 Aug@ Livyi Bereh1–1D
22 Augvs Obolon'-Brovar2–0W
15 Augvs Bukovyna3–0W
10 Augvs LNZ Cherkasy3–0W
1 Aug@ Kryvbas KR4–1W
25 Julvs Veres Rivne5–1W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

LWWWDW
29 Augvs Polessya0–2L
16 Aug@ FC Kharkiv1–0W
9 Aug@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–0W
3 Augvs Kudrivka5–1W
26 Jul@ Bursaspor0–0D
23 Jul@ HNK Gorica2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Shakhtar Donetsk v Karpaty3–0
Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

On our numbers Karpaty have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shakhtar Donetsk 62%.

How many goals will there be in Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our predicted score is Karpaty 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.