Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.39Odds
Picks by market
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karpaty welcome Shakhtar Donetsk to Ukraina Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 5 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Karpaty are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Karpaty, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Livyi Bereh, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Polessya, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Karpaty, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Shakhtar Donetsk.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 Karpaty.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karpaty 0.9 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karpaty 16%, draw 22%, Shakhtar Donetsk 62%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.78.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karpaty 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karpaty16%fair 6.45 · @5.75
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.20
Shakhtar Donetsk62%fair 1.60 · @1.50
2.94Expected goals
0.92Karpaty xG
2.03Shakhtar Donetsk xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Karpaty 0.9 – 2.0 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
On our numbers Karpaty have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shakhtar Donetsk 62%.
How many goals will there be in Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our predicted score is Karpaty 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.