Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.86
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 14 September: Shakhtar Donetsk v Chornomorets in the Premier League, played at Arena Lviv. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Chornomorets are 11th (lower half) with 9. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with PSV Eindhoven, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Chornomorets, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Livyi Bereh, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Chornomorets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 1.9 xG, Chornomorets 0.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 77%, draw 17%, Chornomorets 6%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Chornomorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shakhtar Donetsk77%fair 1.30 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @7.00
Chornomorets6%fair 15.68 · @21.00
2.22Expected goals
1.89Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.33Chornomorets xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–019%
3–012%
0–011%
1–17%
2–16%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.9 – 0.3 Chornomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
77%
1.30
1.12
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.44
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Shakhtar Donetsk -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✓
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.86
–
Recent results
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
DWLWWW
10 Sep
@ PSV Eindhoven
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Karpaty
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Polessya
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ FC Kharkiv
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–0
W
3 Aug
vs Kudrivka
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chornomorets – last 6
DWLLLL
4 Sep
vs Livyi Bereh
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Kryvbas KR
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Vilkhivtsi
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ LNZ Cherkasy
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Polessya
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Kolos Kovalivka
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chornomorets 6%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Chornomorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
