Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPolessya to win ✓69% · @1.30
Double chancePolessya or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Friday 18 September: Polessya v Kryvbas KR in the Premier League, played at Tsentralnyi Stadion. In the table, Polessya are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Kryvbas KR are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Polessya, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Livyi Bereh, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kryvbas KR, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Olimpiya Savyntsi, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polessya, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Kryvbas KR.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polessya 2.3 xG, Kryvbas KR 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polessya 69%, draw 20%, Kryvbas KR 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Polessya to win (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polessya 2–0 Kryvbas KR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polessya69%fair 1.46 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @5.00
Kryvbas KR11%fair 9.16 · @8.50
3.18Expected goals
2.32Polessya xG
0.86Kryvbas KR xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Polessya 2.3 – 0.9 Kryvbas KR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polessya to win✓
69%
1.46
1.30
Double chance
Polessya or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Polessya (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Polessya -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Polessya to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Polessya ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polessya / FT Polessya✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Polessya – last 6
WWWWLW
13 Sep
vs Livyi Bereh
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Kudrivka
2–0
W
4 Sep
vs Kudrivka
5–1
W
29 Aug
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–0
W
17 Aug
vs Zorya Luhansk
1–2
L
10 Aug
vs FC Kharkiv
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kryvbas KR – last 6
WDLWDW
8 Sep
@ Olimpiya Savyntsi
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Kolos Kovalivka
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Chornomorets
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Rokyta
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Livyi Bereh
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Zorya Luhansk
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polessya and Kryvbas KR.
What is the prediction for Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
Our pick is Polessya to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
On our numbers Polessya have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kryvbas KR 11%.
How many goals will there be in Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
Our predicted score is Polessya 2–0 Kryvbas KR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.