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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Polessya v Kryvbas KR: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Tsentralnyi Stadion
1–0
FT
Polessya 69%Draw 20%Kryvbas KR 11% Expected goals 2.32 – 0.86
69%
Betarazi pick

Polessya to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPolessya to win ✓69% · @1.30
Double chancePolessya or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Polessya vs Kryvbas KR: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Friday 18 September: Polessya v Kryvbas KR in the Premier League, played at Tsentralnyi Stadion. In the table, Polessya are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Kryvbas KR are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Polessya, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Livyi Bereh, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kryvbas KR, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Olimpiya Savyntsi, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Polessya, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Kryvbas KR.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Polessya 2.3 xG, Kryvbas KR 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Polessya 69%, draw 20%, Kryvbas KR 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Polessya to win (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polessya 2–0 Kryvbas KR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Polessya69%fair 1.46 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @5.00
Kryvbas KR11%fair 9.16 · @8.50
3.18Expected goals
2.32Polessya xG
0.86Kryvbas KR xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Polessya 2.3 – 0.9 Kryvbas KR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPolessya to win ✓69%1.461.30
Double chancePolessya or draw ✓89%1.121.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betPolessya (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapPolessya -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scorePolessya to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultPolessya ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Polessya / FT Polessya ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Polessya – last 6

WWWWLW
13 Sepvs Livyi Bereh1–0W
9 Sepvs Kudrivka2–0W
4 Sepvs Kudrivka5–1W
29 Aug@ Shakhtar Donetsk2–0W
17 Augvs Zorya Luhansk1–2L
10 Augvs FC Kharkiv3–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kryvbas KR – last 6

WDLWDW
8 Sep@ Olimpiya Savyntsi2–0W
5 Sepvs Kolos Kovalivka2–2D
30 Aug@ Chornomorets0–1L
22 Aug@ Rokyta3–0W
15 Augvs Livyi Bereh1–1D
9 Aug@ Zorya Luhansk3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Polessya and Kryvbas KR.

Polessya vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

Our pick is Polessya to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

On our numbers Polessya have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kryvbas KR 11%.

How many goals will there be in Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

Our predicted score is Polessya 2–0 Kryvbas KR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

Polessya vs Kryvbas KR (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.