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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk v LNZ Cherkasy: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Arena Lviv
3–0
FT
Shakhtar Donetsk 59%Draw 23%LNZ Cherkasy 18% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.66
59%
Betarazi pick

Shakhtar Donetsk to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓59% · @1.62
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk welcome LNZ Cherkasy to Arena Lviv for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; LNZ Cherkasy are 6th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vilkhivtsi, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

LNZ Cherkasy, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bukovyna, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for LNZ Cherkasy.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended LNZ Cherkasy 2–2 Shakhtar Donetsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5 xG, LNZ Cherkasy 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 59%, draw 23%, LNZ Cherkasy 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shakhtar Donetsk to win (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 LNZ Cherkasy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shakhtar Donetsk59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
LNZ Cherkasy18%fair 5.54 · @5.00
2.17Expected goals
1.51Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.66LNZ Cherkasy xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5 – 0.7 LNZ Cherkasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓59%1.691.62
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.10 ▲
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapLNZ Cherkasy +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WWDWLW
17 Sep@ Vilkhivtsi3–0W
14 Sepvs Chornomorets2–0W
10 Sep@ PSV Eindhoven1–1D
5 Sep@ Karpaty2–1W
29 Augvs Polessya0–2L
16 Aug@ FC Kharkiv1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

LNZ Cherkasy – last 6

DWDLWL
16 Sep@ Bukovyna0–0D
12 Sepvs Obolon'-Brovar3–1W
6 Sep@ Dynamo Kyiv0–0D
30 Augvs Veres Rivne0–1L
16 Augvs Chornomorets2–0W
10 Aug@ Karpaty0–3L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Apr 2026LNZ Cherkasy v Shakhtar Donetsk2–2
Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Our pick is Shakhtar Donetsk to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and LNZ Cherkasy 18%.

How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 LNZ Cherkasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.