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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bukovyna v Polessya: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Bukovyna Stadium
2–2
FT
Bukovyna 17%Draw 21%Polessya 62% Expected goals 0.60 – 1.54
83%
Betarazi pick

Polessya or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Polessya to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPolessya to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chancePolessya or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93

Bukovyna vs Polessya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Polessya travel to face Bukovyna on Sunday 11 October in the Premier League, with Bukovyna Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bukovyna are 10th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Polessya are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bukovyna, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Kharkiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Polessya, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kryvbas KR, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Polessya, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Bukovyna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bukovyna 0.6 xG, Polessya 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bukovyna 17%, draw 21%, Polessya 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Polessya or draw (83%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Polessya to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Polessya or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bukovyna 0–1 Polessya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bukovyna17%fair 5.94 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Polessya62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
2.14Expected goals
0.60Bukovyna xG
1.54Polessya xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%

From our goals model: Bukovyna 0.6 – 1.5 Polessya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPolessya to win ✗62%1.601.75 ▲
Double chancePolessya or draw ✓83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.971.73
Draw no betPolessya (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapPolessya -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scorePolessya to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Polessya / FT Polessya ✗37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.93–

Recent results

Bukovyna – last 6

LDDDWW
19 Sep@ FC Kharkiv0–2L
16 Sepvs LNZ Cherkasy0–0D
13 Sepvs Zorya Luhansk1–1D
6 Sep@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0–0D
31 Augvs Dynamo Kyiv3–0W
22 Aug@ Nyva Ternopil4–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Polessya – last 6

WWWWWL
18 Sepvs Kryvbas KR1–0W
13 Sepvs Livyi Bereh1–0W
9 Sepvs Kudrivka2–0W
4 Sepvs Kudrivka5–1W
29 Aug@ Shakhtar Donetsk2–0W
17 Augvs Zorya Luhansk1–2L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bukovyna and Polessya.

Bukovyna vs Polessya head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bukovyna vs Polessya?

Our pick is Polessya or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Bukovyna vs Polessya?

On our numbers Bukovyna have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Polessya 62%.

How many goals will there be in Bukovyna vs Polessya?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bukovyna vs Polessya?

Our predicted score is Bukovyna 0–1 Polessya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Bukovyna vs Polessya?

Bukovyna vs Polessya (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Bukovyna Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.