Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultKarpaty to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceKarpaty or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Chornomorets vs Karpaty: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chornomorets welcome Karpaty to Chornomorets Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 25 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Chornomorets are 11th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Karpaty are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Chornomorets, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zorya Luhansk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Karpaty, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Karpaty, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Chornomorets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chornomorets 0.7 xG, Karpaty 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chornomorets 16%, draw 21%, Karpaty 64%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Karpaty to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chornomorets 0–1 Karpaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chornomorets16%fair 6.43 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.00
Karpaty64%fair 1.57 · @1.44
2.41Expected goals
0.68Chornomorets xG
1.73Karpaty xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Chornomorets 0.7 – 1.7 Karpaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karpaty to win✗
64%
1.57
1.44
Double chance
Karpaty or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Karpaty (draw no bet)
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Karpaty -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Karpaty to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Karpaty ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.44
–
Recent results
Chornomorets – last 6
LLDLDW
17 Oct
@ Zorya Luhansk
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs FC Kharkiv
1–2
L
18 Sep
vs Obolon'-Brovar
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Livyi Bereh
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Kryvbas KR
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Karpaty – last 6
DLWDWW
18 Oct
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Dynamo Kyiv
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Veres Rivne
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Kolos Kovalivka
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Kolos Kovalivka
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chornomorets and Karpaty.
What is the prediction for Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
Our pick is Karpaty to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
On our numbers Chornomorets have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karpaty 64%.
How many goals will there be in Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
Our predicted score is Chornomorets 0–1 Karpaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
Chornomorets vs Karpaty (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Chornomorets Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
