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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine
0–0
FT
Shakhtar Donetsk 66%Draw 18%Zorya Luhansk 16% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.80
66%
Betarazi pick

Shakhtar Donetsk to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✗66% · @1.40
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zorya Luhansk travel to face Shakhtar Donetsk on Saturday 24 October in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Zorya Luhansk are 7th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Inter, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Zorya Luhansk, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chornomorets, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Zorya Luhansk.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Zorya Luhansk 1–2 Shakhtar Donetsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0 xG, Zorya Luhansk 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 66%, draw 18%, Zorya Luhansk 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shakhtar Donetsk to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Zorya Luhansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shakhtar Donetsk66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @4.40
Zorya Luhansk16%fair 6.38 · @6.50
2.78Expected goals
1.98Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.80Zorya Luhansk xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0 – 0.8 Zorya Luhansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✗66%1.511.40
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.80
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultShakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

LWWWWW
21 Oct@ Inter0–1L
17 Octvs Kolos Kovalivka2–1W
14 Octvs AEK Athens FC3–1W
9 Oct@ Veres Rivne3–0W
20 Sepvs LNZ Cherkasy3–0W
17 Sep@ Vilkhivtsi3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Zorya Luhansk – last 6

WWLDWD
17 Octvs Chornomorets2–1W
12 Oct@ Livyi Bereh3–1W
19 Sepvs Dynamo Kyiv0–2L
13 Sep@ Bukovyna1–1D
9 Sep@ Yarud Mariupol'2–0W
6 Sep@ Veres Rivne1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026Zorya Luhansk v Shakhtar Donetsk1–2
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Our pick is Shakhtar Donetsk to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Zorya Luhansk 16%.

How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Zorya Luhansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.