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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Obolon Arena
2–0
FT
Shakhtar Donetsk 78%Draw 14%Obolon'-Brovar 8% Expected goals 2.28 – 0.54
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓78% · @1.08
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk welcome Obolon'-Brovar to Obolon Arena for a Premier League fixture on Friday 30 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Obolon'-Brovar are 14th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dynamo Kyiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Obolon'-Brovar, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Polessya, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Obolon'-Brovar.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 2.3 xG, Obolon'-Brovar 0.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 78%, draw 14%, Obolon'-Brovar 8%.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Obolon'-Brovar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shakhtar Donetsk78%fair 1.29 · @1.08
Draw14%fair 7.00 · @9.50
Obolon'-Brovar8%fair 12.44 · @21.00
2.82Expected goals
2.28Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.54Obolon'-Brovar xG
44%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 2.3 – 0.5 Obolon'-Brovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓78%1.291.08
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.791.36
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk -1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.631.73 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.30
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first ✓76%1.32–
Half-time resultShakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✗55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✗52%1.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12%8.52–

Recent results

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WDLWWW
27 Octvs Dynamo Kyiv3–0W
24 Octvs Zorya Luhansk0–0D
21 Oct@ Inter0–1L
17 Octvs Kolos Kovalivka2–1W
14 Octvs AEK Athens FC3–1W
9 Oct@ Veres Rivne3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Obolon'-Brovar – last 6

LWDLLD
23 Oct@ Polessya0–3L
16 Octvs Veres Rivne2–0W
18 Sep@ Chornomorets1–1D
12 Sep@ LNZ Cherkasy1–3L
5 Sep@ FC Kharkiv0–5L
28 Aug@ Kolos Kovalivka0–0D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar3–1
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Obolon'-Brovar 8%.

How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Obolon'-Brovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Obolon Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.