Value bet: ETSV Hamburg to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultETSV Hamburg to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.26
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ETSV Hamburg welcome Niendorfer TSV for a Oberliga Hamburg fixture on Friday 9 October (18:30 WAT). In the table, ETSV Hamburg are 1st, leading the league, on 83 points after 34 matches; Niendorfer TSV are 9th (upper half) with 50. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ETSV Hamburg, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Paloma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Niendorfer TSV, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Concordia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended ETSV Hamburg 2–1 Niendorfer TSV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ETSV Hamburg 2.4 xG, Niendorfer TSV 1.5 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 72% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ETSV Hamburg 58%, draw 15%, Niendorfer TSV 27%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.26.
Price worth noting: ETSV Hamburg to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: ETSV Hamburg 2–1 Niendorfer TSV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ETSV Hamburg58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @4.30
Niendorfer TSV27%fair 3.73 · @2.98
3.91Expected goals
2.37ETSV Hamburg xG
1.54Niendorfer TSV xG
72%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: ETSV Hamburg 2.4 – 1.5 Niendorfer TSV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV?
On our numbers ETSV Hamburg have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Niendorfer TSV 27%.
How many goals will there be in ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV?
Our predicted score is ETSV Hamburg 2–1 Niendorfer TSV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV?
ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV (Oberliga Hamburg) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
