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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spain v Austria: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · SoFi Stadium

Spain

WWDWD
3–0
FT

Austria

DLWWW
Spain 66%Draw 20%Austria 14% Expected goals 2.05 – 0.87
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpain to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Spain vs Austria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 2 July the World Cup brings Spain against Austria at SoFi Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Spain, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Uruguay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Austria, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Algeria, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spain 2.0 xG, Austria 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spain 66%, draw 20%, Austria 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spain 2–0 Austria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spain66%fair 1.51 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.75
Austria14%fair 7.19 · @9.30
2.92Expected goals
2.05Spain xG
0.87Austria xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Spain 2.0 – 0.9 Austria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpain to win ✓66%1.511.33
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.10 ▲
Draw no betSpain (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapSpain -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
First team to scoreSpain to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultSpain ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spain / FT Spain ✓42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Spain – last 6

WWDWDD
27 Jun@ Uruguay1–0W
21 Junvs Saudi Arabia4–0W
15 Junvs Cape Verde Islands0–0D
9 Jun@ Peru3–1W
4 Junvs Iraq1–1D
31 Marvs Egypt0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Austria – last 6

DLWWWW
28 Jun@ Algeria3–3D
22 Jun@ Argentina0–2L
17 Junvs Jordan3–1W
1 Junvs Tunisia1–0W
31 Marvs South Korea1–0W
27 Marvs Ghana5–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spain and Austria.

Spain vs Austria head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spain vs Austria?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Spain vs Austria?

On our numbers Spain have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Austria 14%.

How many goals will there be in Spain vs Austria?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spain vs Austria?

Our predicted score is Spain 2–0 Austria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Spain vs Austria?

Spain vs Austria (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 2 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.