Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPakhtakor to win ✓53% · @1.80
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Hussein travel to face Pakhtakor on Tuesday 11 August in the AFC Champions League, with Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Buxoro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Al Hussein, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Al Wihdat, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al Hussein, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Pakhtakor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 1.6 xG, Al Hussein 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 53%, draw 24%, Al Hussein 23%.
Lower-risk option: Pakhtakor or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pakhtakor or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 1–1 Al Hussein. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor53%fair 1.88 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.50
Al Hussein23%fair 4.43 · @4.35
2.76Expected goals
1.65Pakhtakor xG
1.11Al Hussein xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.6 – 1.1 Al Hussein expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Pakhtakor (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Al Hussein +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Pakhtakor to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✓
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Pakhtakor – last 6
DDWWDD
6 Aug
vs Buxoro
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Andijan
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Bunyodkor
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Xorazm
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Lokomotiv
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Nasaf
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Hussein – last 6
WWWWWW
12 May
vs Al Wihdat
3–1
W
8 May
vs Al Faisaly
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Al Jazeera
3–1
W
23 Apr
@ Sama Al Sarhan
4–0
W
15 Apr
vs Al Ramtha
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Al Ahli
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Al Hussein.
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
Our pick is Pakhtakor or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Hussein 23%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 1–1 Al Hussein, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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