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Universidad de Concepcion v Curico Unido: numbers & prediction

Copa Chile · Chile · Estadio Ester Roa
Universidad de Concepcion 42%Draw 24%Curico Unido 33% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.33
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad de Concepcion to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31

Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 5 August the Copa Chile brings Universidad de Concepcion against Curico Unido at Estadio Ester Roa. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.

Current form

Universidad de Concepcion, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to A. Italiano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Curico Unido, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cobreloa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Curico Unido, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Universidad de Concepcion.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Curico Unido 2–2 Universidad de Concepcion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad de Concepcion 1.5 xG, Curico Unido 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad de Concepcion 42%, draw 24%, Curico Unido 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 Curico Unido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad de Concepcion42%fair 2.35 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.50
Curico Unido33%fair 3.02 · @2.90
2.84Expected goals
1.51Universidad de Concepcion xG
1.33Curico Unido xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Universidad de Concepcion 1.5 – 1.3 Curico Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad de Concepcion to win ✗42%2.352.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.57
Draw no betUniversidad de Concepcion (draw no bet) ✗56%1.78–
Asian handicapCurico Unido +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreUniversidad de Concepcion to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad de Concepcion / FT Universidad de Concepcion ✗24%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.31–

Recent results

Universidad de Concepcion – last 6

LWLDLL
1 Augvs A. Italiano0–1L
5 Julvs Rangers de Talca2–0W
1 Julvs Nublense0–1L
28 Jun@ Curico Unido2–2D
26 Jun@ Nublense2–4L
20 Jun@ Rangers de Talca1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Curico Unido – last 6

DLDDWW
1 Augvs Cobreloa0–0D
25 Julvs San Luis1–2L
5 Jul@ Nublense2–2D
28 Junvs Universidad de Concepcion2–2D
21 Junvs Nublense1–0W
9 Jun@ Deportes Temuco1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Curico Unido v Universidad de Concepcion2–2
Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido head-to-head page →

More Copa Chile predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

On our numbers Universidad de Concepcion have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Curico Unido 33%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

Our predicted score is Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 Curico Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido (Copa Chile) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ester Roa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.