Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Coquimbo Unido v San Marcos de Arica: numbers & prediction

Copa Chile · Chile

Coquimbo Unido

LLWDD
1–0
FT

San Marcos de Arica

DWLLL
Coquimbo Unido 62%Draw 23%San Marcos de Arica 15% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.73
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCoquimbo Unido to win ✓62% · @1.45
Double chanceCoquimbo Unido or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 6 August the Copa Chile brings Coquimbo Unido against San Marcos de Arica. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Coquimbo Unido, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Palestino, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

San Marcos de Arica, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportes Iquique, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Coquimbo Unido, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for San Marcos de Arica.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended San Marcos de Arica 0–1 Coquimbo Unido.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Coquimbo Unido 1.7 xG, San Marcos de Arica 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Coquimbo Unido 62%, draw 23%, San Marcos de Arica 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coquimbo Unido 1–0 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Coquimbo Unido62%fair 1.62 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.95
San Marcos de Arica15%fair 6.56 · @6.40
2.45Expected goals
1.72Coquimbo Unido xG
0.73San Marcos de Arica xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Coquimbo Unido 1.7 – 0.7 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCoquimbo Unido to win ✓62%1.621.45
Double chanceCoquimbo Unido or draw ✓85%1.181.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.00 ▲
Draw no betCoquimbo Unido (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapCoquimbo Unido -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCoquimbo Unido to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultCoquimbo Unido ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido ✓38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

Coquimbo Unido – last 6

LLWDDW
1 Aug@ Palestino1–2L
12 Julvs Union La Calera0–1L
9 Jul@ Union La Calera1–0W
4 Jul@ Deportes Iquique1–1D
1 Jul@ Deportes Limache1–1D
27 Jun@ San Marcos de Arica1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

San Marcos de Arica – last 6

DWLLLL
1 Augvs Deportes Iquique1–1D
26 Julvs Magallanes2–0W
6 Jul@ Deportes Limache1–4L
27 Junvs Coquimbo Unido0–1L
20 Junvs Deportes Limache1–3L
6 Jun@ San Luis0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026San Marcos de Arica v Coquimbo Unido0–1
Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica head-to-head page →

More Copa Chile predictions

League hub
FT Deportes Iquique3 Deportes Limache1 142%2.55X24%3.50234%2.38 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?

On our numbers Coquimbo Unido have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Marcos de Arica 15%.

How many goals will there be in Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?

Our predicted score is Coquimbo Unido 1–0 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica?

Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos de Arica (Copa Chile) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.