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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Middlesbrough v Wrexham: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough

DDLDD
1–0
FT

Wrexham

LLWWD
Middlesbrough 55%Draw 23%Wrexham 22% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.03
78%
Betarazi pick

Middlesbrough or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓55% · @1.70
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wrexham travel to face Middlesbrough on Friday 7 August in the League Cup, with Riverside Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Middlesbrough, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Espanyol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Wrexham, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sunderland, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Middlesbrough 1.8 xG, Wrexham 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Middlesbrough 55%, draw 23%, Wrexham 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Middlesbrough or draw (78%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Middlesbrough or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Middlesbrough55%fair 1.81 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.90
Wrexham22%fair 4.64 · @4.40
2.79Expected goals
1.76Middlesbrough xG
1.03Wrexham xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%

From our goals model: Middlesbrough 1.8 – 1.0 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough to win ✓55%1.811.70
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓78%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.70
Draw no betMiddlesbrough (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapWrexham +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.15
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✗34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Middlesbrough – last 6

DDLDDD
1 Augvs Espanyol3–3D
18 Jul@ Celtic1–1D
23 May@ Hull City0–1L
12 May@ Southampton1–1D
9 Mayvs Southampton0–0D
2 May@ Wrexham2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Wrexham – last 6

LLWWDD
2 Augvs Sunderland0–1L
30 Jul@ Liverpool0–1L
26 Julvs Leeds3–2W
18 Jul@ Manchester United1–0W
11 Jul@ Wisla Krakow0–0D
2 Mayvs Middlesbrough2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Wrexham v Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

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FT Wolves3 Port Vale0 163%1.24X23%5.80214%11.00 1.8–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.57 ✓
FT Wycombe1 Stevenage2 143%2.25X25%3.35231%3.05 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?

Our pick is Middlesbrough or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?

On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wrexham 22%.

How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?

Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham (League Cup) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.