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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Apollon Limassol v AEK Larnaca: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Apollon Limassol

WLLLD
0–0
FT

AEK Larnaca

LLWWW
Apollon Limassol 42%Draw 25%AEK Larnaca 32% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.18
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultApollon Limassol to win ✗42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 16 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Apollon Limassol against AEK Larnaca. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.

Current form

Apollon Limassol, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over GO Ahead Eagles, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

AEK Larnaca, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ajax, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended AEK Larnaca 1–0 Apollon Limassol. The last 2 head-to-heads: Apollon Limassol 0 wins, AEK Larnaca 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Apollon Limassol 1.5 xG, AEK Larnaca 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Apollon Limassol 42%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apollon Limassol 1–1 AEK Larnaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Apollon Limassol42%fair 2.37 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.20
AEK Larnaca32%fair 3.09 · @2.80
2.68Expected goals
1.50Apollon Limassol xG
1.18AEK Larnaca xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Apollon Limassol 1.5 – 1.2 AEK Larnaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Apollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+0%-18%
Goals conceded vs average-19%-13%
Our expected goals here1.651.16

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultApollon Limassol to win ✗42%2.372.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.70
Draw no betApollon Limassol (draw no bet)57%1.77–
Asian handicapAEK Larnaca +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreApollon Limassol to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Apollon Limassol / FT Apollon Limassol ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.01–

Recent results

Apollon Limassol – last 6

WLLLDW
11 Jul@ GO Ahead Eagles3–0W
29 Mayvs Pafos0–2L
22 May@ Omonia Nicosia2–5L
6 May@ AEK Larnaca0–1L
29 Apr@ Apoel Nicosia0–0D
22 Aprvs Apoel Nicosia4–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AEK Larnaca – last 6

LLWWWL
10 Jul@ Ajax0–1L
7 Jul@ PAOK2–3L
4 Jul@ Helmond Sport2–1W
22 May@ Aris4–3W
6 Mayvs Apollon Limassol1–0W
14 Aprvs Omonia Nicosia0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026AEK Larnaca v Apollon Limassol1–0
5 Apr 2026Apollon Limassol v AEK Larnaca1–1
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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FT FC Copenhagen2 Viborg1 153%1.67X21%4.00226%3.80 2.0–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT LNZ Cherkasy0 Göztepe2 138%2.62X25%3.45237%2.35 1.4–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

On our numbers Apollon Limassol have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AEK Larnaca 32%.

How many goals will there be in Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

Our predicted score is Apollon Limassol 1–1 AEK Larnaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?

Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.