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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boca Juniors Res. v River Plate Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
0–0
FTPens 1–3
Boca Juniors Res. 43%Draw 29%River Plate Res. 28% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.90
72%
Betarazi pick

Boca Juniors Res. or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors Res. to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceBoca Juniors Res. or draw ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99

Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Boca Juniors Res. v River Plate Res. in the Reserve League. In the table, Boca Juniors Res. are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 16 matches; River Plate Res. are 7th (upper half) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Boca Juniors Res., last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atlético Tucumán Res., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

River Plate Res., last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lanús Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Boca Juniors Res. 2–0 River Plate Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors Res. 1.3 xG, River Plate Res. 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors Res. 43%, draw 29%, River Plate Res. 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Boca Juniors Res. or draw (72%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Boca Juniors Res. or draw (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors Res. 1–0 River Plate Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boca Juniors Res.43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.75
River Plate Res.28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
2.18Expected goals
1.28Boca Juniors Res. xG
0.90River Plate Res. xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Boca Juniors Res. 1.3 – 0.9 River Plate Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Boca Juniors Res.River Plate Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average+8%+28%
Goals conceded vs average-46%-17%
Our expected goals here1.230.77

Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors Res. to win ✗43%2.332.20
Double chanceBoca Juniors Res. or draw ✓72%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.95
Draw no betBoca Juniors Res. (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapRiver Plate Res. +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreBoca Juniors Res. to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Juniors Res. / FT Boca Juniors Res. ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.99–

Recent results

Boca Juniors Res. – last 6

WLLWWW
28 Junvs Atlético Tucumán Res.3–0W
18 Junvs Lanús Res.0–1L
10 Jun@ Newell's Old Boys Res.1–3L
3 Junvs Defensa y Justicia Res.5–0W
26 May@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 22–0W
20 Mayvs Huracán Res.1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

River Plate Res. – last 6

WWWWDL
27 Junvs Lanús Res.3–1W
17 Jun@ Banfield Res.1–0W
9 Junvs Rosario Central Res.2–1W
2 Jun@ Tigre Res.2–0W
28 Mayvs San Lorenzo Res.1–1D
21 May@ Vélez Sársfield Res.0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026Boca Juniors Res. v River Plate Res.2–0
Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?

Our pick is Boca Juniors Res. or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?

On our numbers Boca Juniors Res. have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and River Plate Res. 28%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?

Our predicted score is Boca Juniors Res. 1–0 River Plate Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?

Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.