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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSA v Ipatinga: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

CSA

LWDWD
4–0
FT

Ipatinga

WWLLL
CSA 66%Draw 20%Ipatinga 14% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.78
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCSA to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

CSA vs Ipatinga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSA welcome Ipatinga for a Serie D fixture on Tuesday 14 July (00:00 WAT).

Current form

CSA, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ipatinga, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Ipatinga, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Coimbra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Ipatinga 1–0 CSA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSA 2.0 xG, Ipatinga 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSA 66%, draw 20%, Ipatinga 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSA 2–0 Ipatinga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSA66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.70
Ipatinga14%fair 7.06 · @6.50
2.79Expected goals
2.01CSA xG
0.78Ipatinga xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: CSA 2.0 – 0.8 Ipatinga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSA to win ✓66%1.521.44
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓86%1.16–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%2.002.25 ▲
Draw no betCSA (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapCSA -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.08
First team to scoreCSA to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultCSA ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSA / FT CSA ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

CSA – last 6

LWDWDW
4 Jul@ Ipatinga0–1L
27 Junvs Lagarto2–0W
21 Jun@ Lagarto1–1D
14 Jun@ Atlético Alagoinhas7–1W
31 Mayvs Jacuipense1–1D
17 May@ CSE5–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ipatinga – last 6

WWLLLW
11 Julvs Coimbra3–2W
4 Julvs CSA1–0W
4 Jul@ Democrata SL0–5L
1 Julvs Aymorés1–4L
27 Jun@ Villa Nova0–6L
27 Junvs Vitória ES2–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Ipatinga v CSA1–0
CSA vs Ipatinga head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT America-RN2 Trem1 168%1.18X19%6.25213%13.00 2.1–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSA vs Ipatinga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win CSA vs Ipatinga?

On our numbers CSA have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ipatinga 14%.

How many goals will there be in CSA vs Ipatinga?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSA vs Ipatinga?

Our predicted score is CSA 2–0 Ipatinga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is CSA vs Ipatinga?

CSA vs Ipatinga (Serie D) kicks off on Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.