Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Danubio v Juventud: numbers & prediction

Danubio

DLLDW
1–1
FT
Danubio 34%Draw 30%Juventud 36% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.12
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✗36% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.34

Danubio vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Danubio welcome Juventud for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 5 July (18:00 WAT). In the table, Danubio are 14th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Juventud are 8th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Danubio, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Wanderers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Juventud, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Club Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Danubio 4–1 Juventud.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Danubio 1.1 xG, Juventud 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Danubio 34%, draw 30%, Juventud 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Danubio 1–1 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Danubio34%fair 2.92 · @2.50
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @3.10
Juventud36%fair 2.79 · @2.72
2.18Expected goals
1.06Danubio xG
1.12Juventud xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Danubio 1.1 – 1.1 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

DanubioJuventud
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-33%-18%
Goals conceded vs average-1%-8%
Our expected goals here0.790.86

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✗36%2.792.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70%1.431.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.85
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapDanubio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreJuventud to score first46%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✗21%4.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.34–

Recent results

Danubio – last 6

DLLDWD
5 Jun@ Wanderers0–0D
30 Mayvs Progreso1–2L
18 May@ Deportivo Maldonado1–3L
26 Marvs Defensor Sporting0–0D
16 Marvs Juventud4–1W
8 Mar@ Penarol1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

LLDDWD
6 Jun@ Club Nacional1–2L
31 Mayvs Wanderers2–5L
27 May@ Cienciano1–1D
21 May@ Puerto Cabello1–1D
10 May@ Defensor Sporting2–1W
5 Mayvs Atletico-MG2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Mar 2026Danubio v Juventud4–1
Danubio vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Juventud?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Danubio vs Juventud?

On our numbers Danubio have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Juventud 36%.

How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Danubio 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Danubio vs Juventud?

Danubio vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.