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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sheriff Tiraspol v Zimbru: numbers & prediction

Super Liga · Moldova · Sheriff Arena
4–2
FT

Zimbru

WDDWW
Sheriff Tiraspol 38%Draw 26%Zimbru 37% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.11
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✓38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.38

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sheriff Tiraspol welcome Zimbru to Sheriff Arena for a Super Liga fixture on Sunday 12 July (18:00 WAT). In the table, Sheriff Tiraspol are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Zimbru are 2nd (among the top four) with 35.

Current form

Sheriff Tiraspol, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aluminij, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Zimbru, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over CSF Bălți, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Zimbru, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Sheriff Tiraspol.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Zimbru 2–2 Sheriff Tiraspol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sheriff Tiraspol 1.2 xG, Zimbru 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sheriff Tiraspol 38%, draw 26%, Zimbru 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheriff Tiraspol 1–1 Zimbru. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sheriff Tiraspol38%fair 2.66 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Zimbru37%fair 2.71 · @2.35
2.29Expected goals
1.18Sheriff Tiraspol xG
1.11Zimbru xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Sheriff Tiraspol 1.2 – 1.1 Zimbru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✓38%2.662.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.88–
Draw no betSheriff Tiraspol (draw no bet) ✓50%1.98–
Asian handicapZimbru +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreSheriff Tiraspol to score first46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol ✓21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.38–

Recent results

Sheriff Tiraspol – last 6

DDWDWL
9 Julvs Aluminij0–0D
4 Jul@ Politehnica UTM0–0D
28 Junvs Sireți3–0W
17 May@ Milsami Orhei0–0D
13 Mayvs Petrocub2–0W
6 May@ Petrocub0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Zimbru – last 6

WDDWWW
5 Julvs CSF Bălți3–0W
27 Jun@ Milsami Orhei0–0D
17 Mayvs Petrocub1–1D
13 May@ Milsami Orhei1–0W
6 Mayvs Milsami Orhei2–0W
21 Apr@ Politehnica UTM5–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Zimbru v Sheriff Tiraspol2–2
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru head-to-head page →

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheriff Tiraspol181161+2939
2Zimbru181053+2335
3Petrocub18963+1833
4Dacia-Buiucani18837+127
5Milsami Orhei18675+125
6Politehnica UTM18549-319
7Sireți18279-1513
8CSF Bălți181215-545

More Super Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?

On our numbers Sheriff Tiraspol have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Zimbru 37%.

How many goals will there be in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?

Our predicted score is Sheriff Tiraspol 1–1 Zimbru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru?

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sheriff Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.