Brazil 59%Draw 22%Norway 19%Expected goals 2.24 – 1.24
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultBrazil to win ✗59% · @1.78
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Brazil vs Norway: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brazil welcome Norway to MetLife Stadium for a World Cup fixture on Sunday 5 July (21:00 WAT).
Current form
Brazil, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Japan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Norway, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ivory Coast, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Brazil, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Norway.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brazil 2.2 xG, Norway 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brazil 59%, draw 22%, Norway 19%.
Lower-risk option: Brazil or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brazil 2–1 Norway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brazil59%fair 1.70 · @1.78
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.65
Norway19%fair 5.27 · @4.30
3.48Expected goals
2.24Brazil xG
1.24Norway xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Brazil 2.2 – 1.2 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✗
59%
1.70
1.78
Double chance
Brazil or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Brazil (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Brazil -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.17
First team to score
Brazil to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Brazil – last 6
WWWDWW
29 Jun
vs Japan
2–1
W
24 Jun
@ Scotland
3–0
W
20 Jun
vs Haiti
3–0
W
13 Jun
vs Morocco
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Egypt
2–1
W
31 May
vs Panama
6–2
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Norway – last 6
WLWWDW
30 Jun
@ Ivory Coast
2–1
W
26 Jun
vs France
1–4
L
23 Jun
vs Senegal
3–2
W
16 Jun
@ Iraq
4–1
W
7 Jun
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Sweden
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil and Norway.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brazil vs Norway?
On our numbers Brazil have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norway 19%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil vs Norway?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Norway?
Our predicted score is Brazil 2–1 Norway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Brazil vs Norway?
Brazil vs Norway (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
