Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✓54% · @1.60
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓79% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Molinos El Pirata travel to face Alianza Atletico on Friday 10 July in the , with Estadio Campeones del 36 the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alianza Lima, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Molinos El Pirata, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atletico Grau, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.7 xG, Molinos El Pirata 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 54%, draw 25%, Molinos El Pirata 21%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Molinos El Pirata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico54%fair 1.83 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Molinos El Pirata21%fair 4.82 · @5.40
2.80Expected goals
1.71Alianza Atletico xG
1.09Molinos El Pirata xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.7 – 1.1 Molinos El Pirata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win✓
54%
1.83
1.60
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Alianza Atletico (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Molinos El Pirata +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Alianza Atletico to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Alianza Atletico – last 6
WWWLLD
28 Jun
@ Alianza Lima
2–1
W
19 Jun
vs Cesar Vallejo
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Carlos A. Mannucci
1–0
W
31 May
@ FBC Melgar
1–3
L
29 May
@ Tigre
0–2
L
24 May
vs FC Cajamarca
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Molinos El Pirata – last 6
LWWLWW
22 Jun
@ Atletico Grau
2–3
L
13 Jun
vs Universitario
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Deportivo Llacuabamba
3–1
W
24 May
@ Carlos A. Mannucci
0–1
L
11 May
vs Academia Cantolao
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Cesar Vallejo
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Molinos El Pirata.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Molinos El Pirata 21%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Molinos El Pirata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata?
Alianza Atletico vs Molinos El Pirata () kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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