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Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów v Moravia Morawica: numbers & prediction

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 54%Draw 23%Moravia Morawica 23% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.09
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to win ✗54% · @1.53
Double chancePogoń-Sokół Lubaczów or draw ✗77% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 21.93

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Moravia Morawica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Moravia Morawica travel to face Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on Saturday 8 August in the III Liga Group 4 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów are 18th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Moravia Morawica are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chełmianka Chełm, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1.6 xG, Moravia Morawica 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 54%, draw 23%, Moravia Morawica 23%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2–1 Moravia Morawica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów54%fair 1.86 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.10
Moravia Morawica23%fair 4.36 · @4.60
2.68Expected goals
1.59Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów xG
1.09Moravia Morawica xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1.6 – 1.1 Moravia Morawica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to win ✗54%1.861.53
Double chancePogoń-Sokół Lubaczów or draw ✗77%1.301.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapMoravia Morawica +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.16–
First team to scorePogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to score first ✗55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów / FT Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów ✗29%3.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5%21.93–

Recent results

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów – last 6

LDLWLW
1 Augvs Chełmianka Chełm0–1L
25 Jul@ Hetman Zamosc2–2D
11 Jul@ Hutnik Kraków1–3L
29 Mayvs Star Starachowice3–1W
23 May@ Wisła Kraków II1–3L
13 May@ Świdniczanka Świdnik3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Moravia Morawica – last 2

LL
2 Augvs Wiślanie Jaśkowice0–2L
25 Jul@ Jarosław2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and Moravia Morawica.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Moravia Morawica head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Moravia Morawica?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Moravia Morawica?

On our numbers Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Moravia Morawica 23%.

How many goals will there be in Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Moravia Morawica?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Moravia Morawica?

Our predicted score is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2–1 Moravia Morawica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Moravia Morawica?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Moravia Morawica (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.