Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1
Value bet: Jarosław to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJarosław to win ✓43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Jarosław vs Star Starachowice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Star Starachowice travel to face Jarosław on Saturday 29 August in the III Liga Group 4 – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Jarosław are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Star Starachowice are 9th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Jarosław, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Podlasie Biała Podlaska, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Star Starachowice, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Busko-Zdroj, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jarosław 1.7 xG, Star Starachowice 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jarosław 43%, draw 19%, Star Starachowice 37%.
Price worth noting: Jarosław to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jarosław 2–1 Star Starachowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jarosław43%fair 2.30 · @2.62
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
Star Starachowice37%fair 2.68 · @2.10
3.27Expected goals
1.71Jarosław xG
1.57Star Starachowice xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Jarosław 1.7 – 1.6 Star Starachowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jarosław to win✓
43%
2.30
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Jarosław (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Star Starachowice +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Jarosław to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jarosław / FT Jarosław✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Jarosław – last 6
WWLLDW
22 Aug
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Wisłoka Dębica
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Sokół Kolb.
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Star Starachowice – last 6
DWLDLW
22 Aug
vs Busko-Zdroj
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Czarni Połaniec
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Hetman Zamosc
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs KSZO 1929
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Wisła Kraków II
2–4
L
18 Jul
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jarosław and Star Starachowice.
What is the prediction for Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
On our numbers Jarosław have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Star Starachowice 37%.
How many goals will there be in Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
Our predicted score is Jarosław 2–1 Star Starachowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?
Jarosław vs Star Starachowice (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
