Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultCzarni Połaniec to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceCzarni Połaniec or draw ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.09
Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Połaniec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moravia Morawica welcome Czarni Połaniec for a III Liga Group 4 fixture on Sunday 13 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Moravia Morawica are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Czarni Połaniec are 6th (upper half) with 28. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Moravia Morawica, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hetman Zamosc, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Czarni Połaniec, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Czarni Połaniec, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Moravia Morawica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moravia Morawica 1.1 xG, Czarni Połaniec 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moravia Morawica 21%, draw 22%, Czarni Połaniec 57%.
Lower-risk option: Czarni Połaniec or draw (79%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Czarni Połaniec or draw (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moravia Morawica 1–1 Czarni Połaniec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moravia Morawica21%fair 4.68 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.75
Czarni Połaniec57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
2.98Expected goals
1.07Moravia Morawica xG
1.90Czarni Połaniec xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Moravia Morawica 1.1 – 1.9 Czarni Połaniec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Czarni Połaniec to win✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Czarni Połaniec or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Czarni Połaniec (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Moravia Morawica +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Czarni Połaniec to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Czarni Połaniec ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Czarni Połaniec / FT Czarni Połaniec✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Moravia Morawica – last 6
LLLWLW
5 Sep
@ Hetman Zamosc
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs KSZO 1929
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Wisła Kraków II
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Naprzód
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Chełmianka Chełm
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Czarni Połaniec – last 6
WWWLLW
5 Sep
vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Korona Kielce II
4–3
W
19 Aug
@ Star Starachowice
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moravia Morawica and Czarni Połaniec.
What is the prediction for Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our pick is Czarni Połaniec or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Połaniec?
On our numbers Moravia Morawica have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Czarni Połaniec 57%.
How many goals will there be in Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Połaniec?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our predicted score is Moravia Morawica 1–1 Czarni Połaniec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Połaniec?
Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Połaniec (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
