Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultJarosław to win ✗61% · @1.57
Double chanceJarosław or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Moravia Morawica v Jarosław in the III Liga Group 4. In the table, Moravia Morawica are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Jarosław are 12th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Moravia Morawica, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Busko-Zdroj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Jarosław, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, at home. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Jarosław, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Moravia Morawica.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Jarosław 3–2 Moravia Morawica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moravia Morawica 1.2 xG, Jarosław 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moravia Morawica 17%, draw 22%, Jarosław 61%.
Lower-risk option: Jarosław or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moravia Morawica 1–2 Jarosław. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moravia Morawica17%fair 5.85 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.20
Jarosław61%fair 1.64 · @1.57
3.50Expected goals
1.19Moravia Morawica xG
2.31Jarosław xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Moravia Morawica 1.2 – 2.3 Jarosław expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
On our numbers Moravia Morawica have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jarosław 61%.
How many goals will there be in Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
Our predicted score is Moravia Morawica 1–2 Jarosław, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?
Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
