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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Podlasie Biała Podlaska v Star Starachowice: numbers & prediction

Podlasie Biała Podlaska 44%Draw 20%Star Starachowice 36% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.20
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultPodlasie Biała Podlaska to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 30.14

Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Podlasie Biała Podlaska welcome Star Starachowice for a III Liga Group 4 fixture on Thursday 1 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Podlasie Biała Podlaska are 16th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Star Starachowice are 9th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Podlasie Biała Podlaska, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chełmianka Chełm, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Star Starachowice, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Siarka Tarnobrzeg, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Star Starachowice 1–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1.4 xG, Star Starachowice 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Podlasie Biała Podlaska 44%, draw 20%, Star Starachowice 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2–1 Star Starachowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Podlasie Biała Podlaska44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75
Star Starachowice36%fair 2.78 · @2.90
2.57Expected goals
1.38Podlasie Biała Podlaska xG
1.20Star Starachowice xG
47%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1.4 – 1.2 Star Starachowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPodlasie Biała Podlaska to win ✗44%2.252.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betPodlasie Biała Podlaska (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapStar Starachowice +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scorePodlasie Biała Podlaska to score first ✗49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Podlasie Biała Podlaska / FT Podlasie Biała Podlaska ✗24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3%30.14–

Recent results

Podlasie Biała Podlaska – last 6

LLWLDL
26 Sep@ Chełmianka Chełm1–2L
19 Sep@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg0–2L
11 Sepvs KS Wieczysta Krakow II2–1W
6 Sep@ Wisłoka Dębica0–1L
28 Augvs Sokół Kolb.0–0D
22 Aug@ Jarosław0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Star Starachowice – last 6

WDLDLD
26 Sepvs Siarka Tarnobrzeg4–1W
19 Sep@ KS Wieczysta Krakow II0–0D
13 Sepvs Wisłoka Dębica2–3L
4 Sep@ Sokół Kolb.0–0D
29 Aug@ Jarosław0–3L
22 Augvs Busko-Zdroj1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Star Starachowice v Podlasie Biała Podlaska1–1
Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice?

On our numbers Podlasie Biała Podlaska have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Star Starachowice 36%.

How many goals will there be in Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice?

Our predicted score is Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2–1 Star Starachowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice?

Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.