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Wisła Kraków II v Jarosław: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT
Wisła Kraków II 38%Draw 21%Jarosław 41% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.75
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Jarosław to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJarosław to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03

Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the III Liga Group 4 brings Wisła Kraków II against Jarosław. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Wisła Kraków II are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Jarosław are 12th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Wisła Kraków II, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Busko-Zdroj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Jarosław, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Naprzód, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Jarosław, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Wisła Kraków II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wisła Kraków II 1.7 xG, Jarosław 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wisła Kraków II 38%, draw 21%, Jarosław 41%.
  • Price worth noting: Jarosław to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wisła Kraków II 1–2 Jarosław. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wisła Kraków II38%fair 2.61 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Jarosław41%fair 2.44 · @2.70
3.43Expected goals
1.68Wisła Kraków II xG
1.75Jarosław xG
58%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%

From our goals model: Wisła Kraków II 1.7 – 1.7 Jarosław expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJarosław to win ✗41%2.442.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.74–
Draw no betJarosław (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapWisła Kraków II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreJarosław to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jarosław / FT Jarosław ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.03–

Recent results

Wisła Kraków II – last 6

LDDLLD
4 Oct@ Busko-Zdroj0–3L
25 Sepvs Czarni Połaniec1–1D
19 Sep@ Hetman Zamosc3–3D
12 Sepvs KSZO 19290–1L
5 Sepvs Chełmianka Chełm0–2L
30 Aug@ Naprzód0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Jarosław – last 6

LDWLWW
3 Octvs Naprzód1–3L
27 Sep@ Moravia Morawica2–2D
19 Sepvs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2W
12 Sep@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3L
5 Sepvs Korona Kielce II6–2W
29 Augvs Star Starachowice3–0W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wisła Kraków II and Jarosław.

Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław?

On our numbers Wisła Kraków II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jarosław 41%.

How many goals will there be in Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław?

Our predicted score is Wisła Kraków II 1–2 Jarosław, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław?

Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.