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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Star Starachowice v Korona Kielce II: numbers & prediction

Star Starachowice 44%Draw 20%Korona Kielce II 37% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.60
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultStar Starachowice to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Korona Kielce II travel to face Star Starachowice on Saturday 17 October in the III Liga Group 4 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Star Starachowice are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Korona Kielce II are 15th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Star Starachowice, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chełmianka Chełm, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Korona Kielce II, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Podlasie Biała Podlaska, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Korona Kielce II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Star Starachowice.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Korona Kielce II 3–2 Star Starachowice.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Star Starachowice 1.8 xG, Korona Kielce II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Star Starachowice 44%, draw 20%, Korona Kielce II 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Star Starachowice 2–1 Korona Kielce II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Star Starachowice44%fair 2.30 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.70
Korona Kielce II37%fair 2.72 · @2.75
3.37Expected goals
1.76Star Starachowice xG
1.60Korona Kielce II xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Star Starachowice 1.8 – 1.6 Korona Kielce II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStar Starachowice to win ✓44%2.302.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betStar Starachowice (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapKorona Kielce II +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.601.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
First team to scoreStar Starachowice to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Star Starachowice / FT Star Starachowice ✓25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Star Starachowice – last 6

LDWDLD
10 Oct@ Chełmianka Chełm1–2L
1 Oct@ Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–2D
26 Sepvs Siarka Tarnobrzeg4–1W
19 Sep@ KS Wieczysta Krakow II0–0D
13 Sepvs Wisłoka Dębica2–3L
4 Sep@ Sokół Kolb.0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Korona Kielce II – last 6

WWWLDL
10 Octvs Podlasie Biała Podlaska4–0W
3 Oct@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg2–1W
26 Sepvs KS Wieczysta Krakow II1–0W
19 Sep@ Wisłoka Dębica0–1L
12 Sepvs Sokół Kolb.2–2D
5 Sep@ Jarosław2–6L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Korona Kielce II v Star Starachowice3–2
Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II?

On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Korona Kielce II 37%.

How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II?

Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 2–1 Korona Kielce II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II?

Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.