Star Starachowice 56%Draw 18%Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 26%Expected goals 1.85 – 1.15
59%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Star Starachowice to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStar Starachowice to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Star Starachowice welcome Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów for a III Liga Group 4 fixture on Friday 30 October (18:30 WAT). In the table, Star Starachowice are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów are 18th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Star Starachowice, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wiślanie Jaśkowice, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Podlasie Biała Podlaska, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Star Starachowice, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
Head to head
When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 3–1 Star Starachowice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Star Starachowice 1.8 xG, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Star Starachowice 56%, draw 18%, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 26%.
Price worth noting: Star Starachowice to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Star Starachowice 2–1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Star Starachowice56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.75
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
3.00Expected goals
1.85Star Starachowice xG
1.15Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Star Starachowice 1.8 – 1.1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 26%.
How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 2–1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
Star Starachowice vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
