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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Czarni Połaniec v Sokół Kolb.: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Czarni Połaniec 64%Draw 22%Sokół Kolb. 14% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.76
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.37 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.37Odds
1

Value bet: Czarni Połaniec to win @ 1.74 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCzarni Połaniec to win ✓64% · @1.74
Double chanceCzarni Połaniec or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44

Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sokół Kolb. travel to face Czarni Połaniec on Saturday 7 November in the III Liga Group 4 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Czarni Połaniec are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Sokół Kolb. are 14th (lower half) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Czarni Połaniec, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Jarosław, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sokół Kolb., last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hetman Zamosc, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended Sokół Kolb. 2–1 Czarni Połaniec. The last 3 head-to-heads: Czarni Połaniec 1 win, Sokół Kolb. 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Czarni Połaniec 1.9 xG, Sokół Kolb. 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Czarni Połaniec 64%, draw 22%, Sokół Kolb. 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Czarni Połaniec or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.63.
  • Price worth noting: Czarni Połaniec to win @1.74 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Czarni Połaniec 1–0 Sokół Kolb.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Czarni Połaniec64%fair 1.57 · @1.74
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.54
Sokół Kolb.14%fair 7.19 · @3.78
2.64Expected goals
1.89Czarni Połaniec xG
0.76Sokół Kolb. xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Czarni Połaniec 1.9 – 0.8 Sokół Kolb. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCzarni Połaniec to win ✓64%1.571.74 ▲
Double chanceCzarni Połaniec or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.741.63
Draw no betCzarni Połaniec (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapCzarni Połaniec -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreCzarni Połaniec to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultCzarni Połaniec ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Czarni Połaniec / FT Czarni Połaniec ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.44–

Recent results

Czarni Połaniec – last 6

DWDLDD
31 Oct@ Jarosław2–2D
24 Octvs Busko-Zdroj2–1W
17 Octvs Chełmianka Chełm0–0D
11 Oct@ Hetman Zamosc0–1L
3 Octvs KSZO 19291–1D
25 Sep@ Wisła Kraków II1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sokół Kolb. – last 6

LLWLDW
31 Octvs Hetman Zamosc0–2L
24 Oct@ KSZO 19291–2L
17 Octvs Wisła Kraków II1–0W
11 Oct@ Naprzód0–1L
3 Octvs Moravia Morawica2–2D
26 Sep@ Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jul 2026Sokół Kolb. v Czarni Połaniec2–1
13 May 2026Sokół Kolb. v Czarni Połaniec2–1
14 Feb 2026Sokół Kolb. v Czarni Połaniec0–2
Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb. head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.?

On our numbers Czarni Połaniec have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sokół Kolb. 14%.

How many goals will there be in Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.?

Our predicted score is Czarni Połaniec 1–0 Sokół Kolb., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.?

Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb. (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.