Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.15
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów v Busko-Zdroj in the III Liga Group 4. In the table, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów are 18th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Busko-Zdroj are 13th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Czarni Połaniec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Busko-Zdroj, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wiślanie Jaśkowice, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Busko-Zdroj, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2.0 xG, Busko-Zdroj 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 58%, draw 20%, Busko-Zdroj 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2–1 Busko-Zdroj. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów58%fair 1.73 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
Busko-Zdroj22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
3.16Expected goals
2.01Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów xG
1.15Busko-Zdroj xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2.0 – 1.2 Busko-Zdroj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to win✓
58%
1.73
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Busko-Zdroj +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów / FT Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów – last 6
LWLDLL
5 Sep
@ Czarni Połaniec
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Hetman Zamosc
4–2
W
23 Aug
@ KSZO 1929
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Wisła Kraków II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Naprzód
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Moravia Morawica
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Busko-Zdroj – last 6
WLDLLW
6 Sep
vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Korona Kielce II
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Star Starachowice
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Podlasie Biała Podlaska
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ KS Wieczysta Krakow II
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and Busko-Zdroj.
What is the prediction for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
On our numbers Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Busko-Zdroj 22%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
Our predicted score is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2–1 Busko-Zdroj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
