Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultCzarni Połaniec to win ✓61% · @1.48
Double chanceCzarni Połaniec or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.17
Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Czarni Połaniec v Busko-Zdroj in the III Liga Group 4. In the table, Czarni Połaniec are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Busko-Zdroj are 13th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Czarni Połaniec, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chełmianka Chełm, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Busko-Zdroj, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Hetman Zamosc, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Czarni Połaniec 2.2 xG, Busko-Zdroj 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Czarni Połaniec 61%, draw 20%, Busko-Zdroj 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Czarni Połaniec 2–1 Busko-Zdroj. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Czarni Połaniec61%fair 1.65 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.33
Busko-Zdroj19%fair 5.28 · @4.75
3.28Expected goals
2.15Czarni Połaniec xG
1.12Busko-Zdroj xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Czarni Połaniec 2.2 – 1.1 Busko-Zdroj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Czarni Połaniec to win✓
61%
1.65
1.48
Double chance
Czarni Połaniec or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Czarni Połaniec (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Czarni Połaniec -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Czarni Połaniec to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Czarni Połaniec ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Czarni Połaniec / FT Czarni Połaniec✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Czarni Połaniec – last 6
DLDDLW
17 Oct
vs Chełmianka Chełm
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Hetman Zamosc
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs KSZO 1929
1–1
D
25 Sep
@ Wisła Kraków II
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Naprzód
2–5
L
13 Sep
@ Moravia Morawica
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Busko-Zdroj – last 6
LLWLWL
18 Oct
vs Hetman Zamosc
2–4
L
10 Oct
@ KSZO 1929
0–5
L
4 Oct
vs Wisła Kraków II
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Naprzód
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Moravia Morawica
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Czarni Połaniec and Busko-Zdroj.
What is the prediction for Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj?
On our numbers Czarni Połaniec have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Busko-Zdroj 19%.
How many goals will there be in Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj?
Our predicted score is Czarni Połaniec 2–1 Busko-Zdroj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj?
Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
