Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultChełmianka Chełm to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceChełmianka Chełm or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓8% · fair 13.20
Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chełmianka Chełm travel to face Busko-Zdroj on Saturday 31 October in the III Liga Group 4 – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Busko-Zdroj are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Chełmianka Chełm are 1st (leading the league) with 40. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Busko-Zdroj, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Czarni Połaniec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Chełmianka Chełm, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Korona Kielce II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chełmianka Chełm, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Busko-Zdroj.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Busko-Zdroj 0.9 xG, Chełmianka Chełm 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 49% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Busko-Zdroj 16%, draw 18%, Chełmianka Chełm 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chełmianka Chełm to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Busko-Zdroj 0–2 Chełmianka Chełm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Busko-Zdroj16%fair 6.16 · @7.00
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @5.00
Chełmianka Chełm66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
3.04Expected goals
0.92Busko-Zdroj xG
2.12Chełmianka Chełm xG
49%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Busko-Zdroj 0.9 – 2.1 Chełmianka Chełm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chełmianka Chełm to win✓
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
Chełmianka Chełm or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Chełmianka Chełm (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Chełmianka Chełm -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Chełmianka Chełm to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Chełmianka Chełm ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chełmianka Chełm / FT Chełmianka Chełm✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✓
8%
13.20
–
Recent results
Busko-Zdroj – last 6
LLLWLW
24 Oct
@ Czarni Połaniec
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Hetman Zamosc
2–4
L
10 Oct
@ KSZO 1929
0–5
L
4 Oct
vs Wisła Kraków II
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Naprzód
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Moravia Morawica
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chełmianka Chełm – last 6
WDWDWD
24 Oct
vs Korona Kielce II
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Czarni Połaniec
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Star Starachowice
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Hetman Zamosc
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ KSZO 1929
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busko-Zdroj and Chełmianka Chełm.
What is the prediction for Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our pick is Chełmianka Chełm to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
On our numbers Busko-Zdroj have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chełmianka Chełm 66%.
How many goals will there be in Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our predicted score is Busko-Zdroj 0–2 Chełmianka Chełm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
