Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultWarta Gorzów to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.71
Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Warta Gorzów welcome Carina Gubin for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Saturday 8 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Warta Gorzów are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Carina Gubin are 14th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Warta Gorzów, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to ROW Rybnik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Carina Gubin, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Miedź Legnica II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Carina Gubin, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Warta Gorzów.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Warta Gorzów 1–1 Carina Gubin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Gorzów 1.6 xG, Carina Gubin 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Gorzów 40%, draw 26%, Carina Gubin 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Gorzów 2–1 Carina Gubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Gorzów40%fair 2.49 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.50
Carina Gubin34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
3.15Expected goals
1.61Warta Gorzów xG
1.54Carina Gubin xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Warta Gorzów 1.6 – 1.5 Carina Gubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Warta Gorzów
Carina Gubin
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
-37%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.12
1.15
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?
On our numbers Warta Gorzów have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Carina Gubin 34%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?
Our predicted score is Warta Gorzów 2–1 Carina Gubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin?
Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
