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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Górnik Polkowice v Carina Gubin: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT
Górnik Polkowice 63%Draw 23%Carina Gubin 13% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.01
63%
Betarazi pick

Górnik Polkowice to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultGórnik Polkowice to win ✓63% · @1.55
Double chanceGórnik Polkowice or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.21

Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carina Gubin travel to face Górnik Polkowice on Sunday 6 September in the III Liga Group 3 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Górnik Polkowice are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Carina Gubin are 14th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Górnik Polkowice, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Polonia Warszawa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Carina Gubin, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barycz Sułów, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Górnik Polkowice, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Carina Gubin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Polkowice 2.3 xG, Carina Gubin 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Polkowice 63%, draw 23%, Carina Gubin 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Górnik Polkowice to win (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Polkowice 2–1 Carina Gubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Górnik Polkowice63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
Carina Gubin13%fair 7.49 · @4.50
3.28Expected goals
2.27Górnik Polkowice xG
1.01Carina Gubin xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 2.3 – 1.0 Carina Gubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGórnik Polkowice to win ✓63%1.581.55
Double chanceGórnik Polkowice or draw ✓87%1.151.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betGórnik Polkowice (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapGórnik Polkowice -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreGórnik Polkowice to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultGórnik Polkowice ahead at half-time ✗48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.21–

Recent results

Górnik Polkowice – last 6

LWWDDL
2 Sepvs Polonia Warszawa0–1L
29 Aug@ ROW Rybnik3–1W
23 Augvs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra2–1W
19 Aug@ Warta Gorzów0–0D
14 Augvs Miedź Legnica II3–3D
8 Aug@ Kluczbork1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Carina Gubin – last 6

LLLDLW
28 Augvs Barycz Sułów0–1L
22 Augvs Zaglebie Sosnowiec0–4L
19 Aug@ ROW Rybnik0–4L
14 Augvs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1–1D
8 Aug@ Warta Gorzów1–2L
1 Augvs Miedź Legnica II2–1W
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Carina Gubin.

Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?

Our pick is Górnik Polkowice to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?

On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carina Gubin 13%.

How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?

Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 2–1 Carina Gubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?

Górnik Polkowice vs Carina Gubin (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.