Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultSparta Katowice to win ✗64% · @1.50
Double chanceSparta Katowice or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.38
Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the III Liga Group 3 brings Sparta Katowice against Warta Gorzów. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Sparta Katowice are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 16 matches; Warta Gorzów are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sparta Katowice, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Miedź Legnica II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Warta Gorzów, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ślęza Wrocław, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sparta Katowice, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Warta Gorzów.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Katowice 1.9 xG, Warta Gorzów 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Katowice 64%, draw 19%, Warta Gorzów 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sparta Katowice to win (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Katowice 1–0 Warta Gorzów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Katowice64%fair 1.57 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.10
Warta Gorzów17%fair 5.92 · @5.00
2.74Expected goals
1.91Sparta Katowice xG
0.83Warta Gorzów xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sparta Katowice 1.9 – 0.8 Warta Gorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Katowice to win✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Double chance
Sparta Katowice or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Sparta Katowice (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Sparta Katowice -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sparta Katowice to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Sparta Katowice ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
13.38
–
Recent results
Sparta Katowice – last 6
WWDWWW
26 Sep
@ Miedź Legnica II
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Kluczbork
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Rakow II
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Polonia Nysa
4–0
W
29 Aug
vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Ślęza Wrocław
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Warta Gorzów – last 6
DLWDLW
26 Sep
vs Ślęza Wrocław
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Goczałkowice Zdrój
1–4
L
12 Sep
vs Stal Brzeg
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Stilon Gorzów
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Zagłębie Lubin II
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Odra Bytom Odrzański
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Katowice and Warta Gorzów.
What is the prediction for Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
Our pick is Sparta Katowice to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
On our numbers Sparta Katowice have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Warta Gorzów 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
Our predicted score is Sparta Katowice 1–0 Warta Gorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów?
Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
