Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultWarta Gorzów to win ✗58% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Warta Gorzów welcome Polonia Nysa for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Saturday 10 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Warta Gorzów are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Polonia Nysa are 18th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Warta Gorzów, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sparta Katowice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Polonia Nysa, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Miedź Legnica II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Warta Gorzów, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Polonia Nysa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Gorzów 1.9 xG, Polonia Nysa 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Gorzów 58%, draw 19%, Polonia Nysa 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Gorzów 2–1 Polonia Nysa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Gorzów58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.75
Polonia Nysa23%fair 4.30 · @3.80
3.03Expected goals
1.92Warta Gorzów xG
1.11Polonia Nysa xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Warta Gorzów 1.9 – 1.1 Polonia Nysa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warta Gorzów to win✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Warta Gorzów (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Nysa +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Warta Gorzów to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Warta Gorzów ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warta Gorzów / FT Warta Gorzów✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Warta Gorzów – last 6
DDLWDL
3 Oct
@ Sparta Katowice
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Ślęza Wrocław
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Goczałkowice Zdrój
1–4
L
12 Sep
vs Stal Brzeg
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Stilon Gorzów
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Zagłębie Lubin II
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Polonia Nysa – last 6
LWLLLL
2 Oct
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Kluczbork
3–1
W
18 Sep
vs Rakow II
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Sparta Katowice
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Ślęza Wrocław
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Gorzów and Polonia Nysa.
What is the prediction for Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa?
On our numbers Warta Gorzów have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Nysa 23%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa?
Our predicted score is Warta Gorzów 2–1 Polonia Nysa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa?
Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
