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Polonia Nysa v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: numbers & prediction

Polonia Nysa 34%Draw 21%Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 45% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.45
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultKarkonosze Jelenia Góra to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Friday 16 October: Polonia Nysa v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra in the III Liga Group 3. In the table, Polonia Nysa are 18th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 15 matches; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are 7th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Polonia Nysa, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Warta Gorzów, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sparta Katowice, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Polonia Nysa.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 3–1 Polonia Nysa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Nysa 1.2 xG, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Nysa 34%, draw 21%, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Nysa 1–2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Polonia Nysa34%fair 2.95 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
2.65Expected goals
1.20Polonia Nysa xG
1.45Karkonosze Jelenia Góra xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Polonia Nysa 1.2 – 1.4 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKarkonosze Jelenia Góra to win ✗45%2.212.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betKarkonosze Jelenia Góra (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapPolonia Nysa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreKarkonosze Jelenia Góra to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra / FT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.24–

Recent results

Polonia Nysa – last 6

WLWLLL
10 Oct@ Warta Gorzów1–0W
2 Octvs Miedź Legnica II1–2L
26 Sep@ Kluczbork3–1W
18 Sepvs Rakow II0–2L
12 Sepvs Zaglebie Sosnowiec1–2L
5 Sep@ Sparta Katowice0–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6

WLWLWL
10 Octvs Sparta Katowice1–0W
3 Oct@ Ślęza Wrocław0–2L
26 Sepvs Goczałkowice Zdrój2–0W
19 Sep@ Stal Brzeg0–1L
13 Sepvs Stilon Gorzów4–2W
5 Sep@ Zagłębie Lubin II0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra v Polonia Nysa3–1
Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?

On our numbers Polonia Nysa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 45%.

How many goals will there be in Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?

Our predicted score is Polonia Nysa 1–2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?

Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.