Górnik Polkowice v Sparta Katowice Prediction & Expected Goals (7 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSparta Katowice to win ✓45% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.21

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.54

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the III Liga Group 3 brings Górnik Polkowice against Sparta Katowice. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Górnik Polkowice are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Sparta Katowice are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Górnik Polkowice, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ślęza Wrocław, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Sparta Katowice, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Barycz Sułów, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sparta Katowice, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Górnik Polkowice.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Górnik Polkowice 0–4 Sparta Katowice.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Polkowice 1.3 xG, Sparta Katowice 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Polkowice 34%, draw 21%, Sparta Katowice 45%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.54.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Polkowice 1–1 Sparta Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Górnik Polkowice34%fair 2.98 · @2.91

Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.44

Sparta Katowice45%fair 2.20 · @2.05

2.96Expected goals

1.35Górnik Polkowice xG

1.61Sparta Katowice xG

60%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–07%

0–27%

From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 1.3 – 1.6 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sparta Katowice to win ✓	45%	2.20	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.21
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.54
Draw no bet	Sparta Katowice (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Górnik Polkowice +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.77	1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	65%	1.54	1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.13
First team to score	Sparta Katowice to score first ✓	52%	1.93	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.51	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice ✓	26%	3.81	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.01	–

Górnik Polkowice – last 6

DWLWDL

30 Oct	@ Ślęza Wrocław	2–2	D
24 Oct	vs Goczałkowice Zdrój	4–1	W
17 Oct	@ Stal Brzeg	0–2	L
9 Oct	vs Stilon Gorzów	4–1	W
2 Oct	@ Zagłębie Lubin II	1–1	D
26 Sep	vs Odra Bytom Odrzański	0–1	L

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Sparta Katowice – last 6

WWWLDW

31 Oct	vs Barycz Sułów	3–1	W
24 Oct	@ Carina Gubin	3–1	W
17 Oct	vs ROW Rybnik	2–0	W
10 Oct	@ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0–1	L
3 Oct	vs Warta Gorzów	1–1	D
26 Sep	@ Miedź Legnica II	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	16	12	1	3	+16	37
2	Sparta Katowice	16	11	3	2	+21	36
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	16	9	4	3	+6	31
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	16	7	6	3	+7	27
5	ROW Rybnik	16	8	2	6	+8	26
6	Miedź Legnica II	16	7	2	7	+8	23
7	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	16	6	5	5	+5	23
8	Kluczbork	16	7	2	7	-3	23
9	Górnik Polkowice	16	6	4	6	+1	22
10	Barycz Sułów	15	6	3	6	0	21
11	Goczałkowice Zdrój	16	6	3	7	-2	21
12	Stal Brzeg	16	5	4	7	+5	19
13	Stilon Gorzów	16	4	6	6	-3	18
14	Carina Gubin	16	4	4	8	-13	16
15	Ślęza Wrocław	16	4	2	10	-12	14
16	Warta Gorzów	16	3	5	8	-19	14
17	Rakow II	16	3	4	9	-11	13
18	Polonia Nysa	15	3	4	8	-14	13

Team

Pts

+16

+21

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

-3

-2

-3

-13

-12

-19

-11

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sparta Katowice 45%.

How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 1–1 Sparta Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Górnik Polkowice v Sparta Katowice: numbers & prediction