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Zaglebie Sosnowiec v Warta Gorzów: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 3 · Poland · ArcelorMittal Park
3–0
FT
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 69%Draw 19%Warta Gorzów 12% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.73
69%
Betarazi pick

Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultZaglebie Sosnowiec to win ✓69% · @1.28
Double chanceZaglebie Sosnowiec or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the III Liga Group 3 brings Zaglebie Sosnowiec against Warta Gorzów at ArcelorMittal Park. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Warta Gorzów are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Zaglebie Sosnowiec, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stilon Gorzów, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Warta Gorzów, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Miedź Legnica II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Zaglebie Sosnowiec, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Warta Gorzów.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2.1 xG, Warta Gorzów 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zaglebie Sosnowiec 69%, draw 19%, Warta Gorzów 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.76.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win (69%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2–0 Warta Gorzów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zaglebie Sosnowiec69%fair 1.44 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.85
Warta Gorzów12%fair 8.67 · @7.30
2.83Expected goals
2.10Zaglebie Sosnowiec xG
0.73Warta Gorzów xG
53%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2.1 – 0.7 Warta Gorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZaglebie Sosnowiec to win ✓69%1.441.28
Double chanceZaglebie Sosnowiec or draw ✓88%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.76
Draw no betZaglebie Sosnowiec (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapZaglebie Sosnowiec -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
First team to scoreZaglebie Sosnowiec to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultZaglebie Sosnowiec ahead at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zaglebie Sosnowiec / FT Zaglebie Sosnowiec ✓45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 6

WWWWWW
31 Oct@ Stilon Gorzów2–0W
23 Octvs Miedź Legnica II3–1W
17 Oct@ Zagłębie Lubin II1–0W
14 Octvs Rakow II1–0W
10 Octvs Kluczbork1–0W
3 Oct@ Odra Bytom Odrzański1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Warta Gorzów – last 6

LLLLDD
30 Oct@ Miedź Legnica II0–6L
24 Octvs Kluczbork0–2L
17 Oct@ Rakow II2–3L
10 Octvs Polonia Nysa0–1L
3 Oct@ Sparta Katowice1–1D
26 Sepvs Ślęza Wrocław1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Warta Gorzów.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów?

Our pick is Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów?

On our numbers Zaglebie Sosnowiec have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Warta Gorzów 12%.

How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów?

Our predicted score is Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2–0 Warta Gorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at ArcelorMittal Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.