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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lipno Stęszew v Kluczevia Stargard: numbers & prediction

Lipno Stęszew 37%Draw 21%Kluczevia Stargard 42% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.67
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: Kluczevia Stargard to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKluczevia Stargard to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56

Lipno Stęszew vs Kluczevia Stargard: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Lipno Stęszew v Kluczevia Stargard in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Lipno Stęszew are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Kluczevia Stargard are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lipno Stęszew, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wda Świecie, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Kluczevia Stargard, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stargard Szczeciński, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Kluczevia Stargard 0–3 Lipno Stęszew.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lipno Stęszew 1.5 xG, Kluczevia Stargard 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lipno Stęszew 37%, draw 21%, Kluczevia Stargard 42%.
  • Price worth noting: Kluczevia Stargard to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lipno Stęszew 1–2 Kluczevia Stargard. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lipno Stęszew37%fair 2.71 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Kluczevia Stargard42%fair 2.37 · @2.55
3.22Expected goals
1.55Lipno Stęszew xG
1.67Kluczevia Stargard xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Lipno Stęszew 1.5 – 1.7 Kluczevia Stargard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKluczevia Stargard to win ✓42%2.372.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betKluczevia Stargard (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapLipno Stęszew +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
First team to scoreKluczevia Stargard to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kluczevia Stargard / FT Kluczevia Stargard ✓25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.56–

Recent results

Lipno Stęszew – last 6

LDWLWW
8 Aug@ Wda Świecie1–2L
1 Aug@ Elana Toruń1–1D
18 Jul@ Odra Bytom Odrzański2–1W
15 Jul@ Unia Swarzędz0–3L
30 Mayvs Unia Swarzędz4–3W
23 May@ Victoria Września3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kluczevia Stargard – last 6

WWWLLL
8 Augvs Stargard Szczeciński2–1W
25 Julvs Polonia Słubice2–1W
19 Julvs Warta Gorzów3–0W
11 Julvs Miedź Legnica II1–2L
8 Jul@ Świt Skolwin1–3L
30 May@ Luzino2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Kluczevia Stargard v Lipno Stęszew0–3
Lipno Stęszew vs Kluczevia Stargard head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew vs Kluczevia Stargard?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Kluczevia Stargard?

On our numbers Lipno Stęszew have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kluczevia Stargard 42%.

How many goals will there be in Lipno Stęszew vs Kluczevia Stargard?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lipno Stęszew vs Kluczevia Stargard?

Our predicted score is Lipno Stęszew 1–2 Kluczevia Stargard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Lipno Stęszew vs Kluczevia Stargard?

Lipno Stęszew vs Kluczevia Stargard (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.