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Lech Poznań II v Grom Nowy Staw: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 2 · Poland · Amica Wronki Stadium
2–4
FT
Lech Poznań II 68%Draw 19%Grom Nowy Staw 13% Expected goals 2.69 – 1.19
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultLech Poznań II to win ✗68% · @1.50
Double chanceLech Poznań II or draw ✗87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Lech Poznań II v Grom Nowy Staw in the III Liga Group 2, played at Amica Wronki Stadium. In the table, Lech Poznań II are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Grom Nowy Staw are 13th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Lech Poznań II, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Gedania Gdansk, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Grom Nowy Staw, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Kluczevia Stargard, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lech Poznań II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Grom Nowy Staw.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznań II 2.7 xG, Grom Nowy Staw 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznań II 68%, draw 19%, Grom Nowy Staw 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznań II 2–1 Grom Nowy Staw. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lech Poznań II68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
Grom Nowy Staw13%fair 7.46 · @4.75
3.88Expected goals
2.69Lech Poznań II xG
1.19Grom Nowy Staw xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Lech Poznań II 2.7 – 1.2 Grom Nowy Staw expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLech Poznań II to win ✗68%1.471.50
Double chanceLech Poznań II or draw ✗87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.45
Draw no betLech Poznań II (draw no bet) ✗84%1.20–
Asian handicapLech Poznań II -1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%1.981.63
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.451.24
First team to scoreLech Poznań II to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultLech Poznań II ahead at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lech Poznań II / FT Lech Poznań II ✗47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

Lech Poznań II – last 6

WWLDWD
23 Aug@ Gedania Gdansk3–2W
19 Augvs Lipno Stęszew1–0W
15 Aug@ Stargard Szczeciński2–4L
8 Augvs Chemik Bydgoszcz1–1D
1 Aug@ Victoria Września5–2W
25 Jul@ Kalisz2–2D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Grom Nowy Staw – last 6

LLLWLD
23 Augvs Kluczevia Stargard3–4L
19 Aug@ Wda Świecie2–4L
15 Augvs Elana Toruń1–2L
8 Aug@ Noteć Czarnków2–0W
1 Augvs Unia Swarzędz2–3L
25 Julvs Olimpia Elbląg1–1D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznań II and Grom Nowy Staw.

Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?

On our numbers Lech Poznań II have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Grom Nowy Staw 13%.

How many goals will there be in Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Our predicted score is Lech Poznań II 2–1 Grom Nowy Staw, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Amica Wronki Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.