Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPolonia Środa to win ✗62% · @1.62

Double chancePolonia Środa or draw ✓86% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.72

Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Grom Nowy Staw are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Polonia Środa are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Grom Nowy Staw, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Lech Poznań II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Polonia Środa, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sandecja Nowy Sącz, at home. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Grom Nowy Staw.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grom Nowy Staw 1.6 xG, Polonia Środa 3.0 xG – a total near 4.6. That is an open game on paper: 84% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Grom Nowy Staw 14%, draw 24%, Polonia Środa 62%.
Lower-risk option: Polonia Środa or draw (86%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Polonia Środa to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grom Nowy Staw 1–2 Polonia Środa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grom Nowy Staw14%fair 6.94 · @4.20

Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.60

Polonia Środa62%fair 1.62 · @1.62

4.58Expected goals

1.60Grom Nowy Staw xG

2.98Polonia Środa xG

59%Both score

84%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–27%

1–37%

2–26%

2–36%

1–45%

1–15%

From our goals model: Grom Nowy Staw 1.6 – 3.0 Polonia Środa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Polonia Środa to win ✗	62%	1.62	1.62
Double chance	Polonia Środa or draw ✓	86%	1.17	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.68	–
Draw no bet	Polonia Środa (draw no bet)	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Polonia Środa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	52%	1.93	–
First team to score	Polonia Środa to score first	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Polonia Środa ahead at half-time ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa ✗	45%	2.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.72	–

Grom Nowy Staw – last 6

WLLLWL

29 Aug	@ Lech Poznań II	4–2	W
23 Aug	vs Kluczevia Stargard	3–4	L
19 Aug	@ Wda Świecie	2–4	L
15 Aug	vs Elana Toruń	1–2	L
8 Aug	@ Noteć Czarnków	2–0	W
1 Aug	vs Unia Swarzędz	2–3	L

2.3Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Polonia Środa – last 6

WWWWWW

1 Sep	vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3–2	W
28 Aug	vs Gedania Gdansk	4–3	W
22 Aug	@ Lipno Stęszew	3–2	W
19 Aug	vs Stargard Szczeciński	4–1	W
14 Aug	@ Chemik Bydgoszcz	4–1	W
7 Aug	vs Victoria Września	1–0	W

3.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?

Our pick is Polonia Środa to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?

On our numbers Grom Nowy Staw have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Polonia Środa 62%.

How many goals will there be in Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?

We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?

Our predicted score is Grom Nowy Staw 1–2 Polonia Środa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.

When is Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?

Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa: numbers & prediction